Chargers vs Raiders prop betting picks: 1 best bet for Thursday's game

Thursday Night Football in Week 15 features the Los Angeles Chargers (+3) taking on the Las Vegas Raiders. It is worth mentioning — in fact worth yelling — that Easton Stick is starting for the Chargers this week as Justin Herbert has been moved to season-ending IR. The Chargers are also expected to take a running back by committee approach on Thursday night and ride the hot hand.

Let’s see if we can find an edge in what projects to be an otherwise ugly Game in primetime.

 

Michael Mayer, TE, LVR Over 19.5 receiving yards (-110)

Line available at Bet365 Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Mayer played 51 out of 54 possible offensive snaps last week and has seen more than 80 percent of the snaps 6 consecutive weeks. He is the clear-cut TE1 in this offense and being on the field is a big part of hitting overs. Mayer is averaging 11.5 yards per catch this season and has had 2 receptions in 7 of the last 9 Games. The Chargers’ run zone coverage at an above-average rate and Mayer shows an uptick in product vs this scheme: +4 yards per reception more against zone, +7 more receptions against zone, +18.5 percent target rate against zone and +4 more first downs against zone. This should result in 2 catches for Mayer and I’m trusting the QB with more starts under his belt on Thursday night. 1u.

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